The loss of David Krejci is very discouraging. This is the first huge negative in a playoff run that has been full of positives. Arguably, the only components more valuable than Krejci to this team would be Rask, Chara, and Bergeron. Vladdy played brilliantly in Round 1 in an increased role with Savard still out and he will have to be brilliant again. But, even if he is, Vladdy is just not going to fill Krejci's skates offensively. The Bruins best offensive line (Krejci/Lootch/Satan) has lost its catalyst. Also, McQuaid is "very doubtful" for Game 4 as well. This is obviously not a huge loss, but the injury bug needs to go away. The Ference/McQuaid D pair was of course on the ice for Philly's only goal last night. Conversely, the Bruins have been feasting on Philly's third pair of Parent/Krajicek. This has been the primary difference in the series aside from goaltending - the Bruins offensive depth has been able to take advantage of the third pair while the Flyers have not been able to do the same. Unfortunately, losing Sturm and now Krejci does significant harm to that depth on offense.
Let's hope they can step it up and continue this though. They still have a guy by the name of Rask that basically won that game for them last night. Listening to the radio this morning, there are apparently people out there who think Tim Thomas should see some action in this series. These people should be deported from New England - please stop calling the radio and go see a NASCAR race or something.
If the B's can finish this off by Game 5 at the latest, they will have some time to rest and hopefully get Mark Stuart back on the blueline which will be a nice boost for the top four D who have been logging a lot of minutes. It will also give Tuukka a rest and keep him fresh which is what these Thomas idiots think he needs anyways.
Go Habs Go - Make it a long series and go right ahead and win it if you'd like.
Showing posts with label Habs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Habs. Show all posts
Thursday, May 6, 2010
Thursday, April 8, 2010
Lottery Percentages and Playoff Scenarios
Lottery Watch (is over):
It's official, the Bruins will have a top 3 choice after Toronto's loss to the Rangers last night. Here are the Bruins' odds of acquiring each pick in Tuesday's (April 13) Draft Lottery:
1st - 18.8%
2nd - 42.0%
3rd - 39.2%
4th or worse - Blutarski's GPA
Unfortunately, that % chance for #3 is pretty high and the Bruins seem to be cursed this year, but you can't complain about picking in the top 3.
Playoff Watch:
6. Montreal - 87 (39 wins, 2 games remaining)
7. Philly - 86 (40 wins, 2 games remaining)
8. Boston - 85 (36 wins, 3 games remaining)
9. Rangers - 84 (37 wins, 2 games remaining)
Here are all of the possible points scenarios in the final two games for the Rangers and Flyers (ignoring what happens with the Habs for the sake of argument):
Rangers 4, Flyers 2 (Rangers win both in OT/Shootout)
Bruins need 4 points to make playoffs, and to guarantee finishing above 8th
Rangers 4, Flyers 1 (one OT game)
Bruins need 3 points to make playoffs, 4 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 4, Flyers 0
Bruins need 2 points for 8th, 4 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 3, Flyers 3 (One OT/Shootout win each)
Bruins need 3 points to make playoffs, 5 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 3, Flyers 2 (Rangers win in regulation, Flyers win in OT)
Bruins need 3 points to make playoffs, 4 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 2, Flyers 4 (figure it out for yourself the rest of the way)
Bruins need 2 to make it, 6 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 2, Flyers 3
Bruins need 2 to make it, 5 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 2, Flyers 2
Bruins need 2, 4 for 7th+
Rangers 1, Flyers 4
Bruins need 1, 6 for 7th+
Rangers 0, Flyers 4
Bruins are in, 6 for 7th+
Just remember that 3 points by the Bruins could be enough to pass the Habs if they lose each of their final two games in regulation. Les Habitantes need only a single point to clinch their playoff spot since they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Rangers. The Habs play tonight @ Carolina and finish up with Toronto on Saturday. Ten different point possibilities come from just two games - have I mentioned the 3-point game system is stupid in the NHL?
The key here is, the Bruins need just 3 points at the most in all but one scenario (Rangers with two OT/Shootout wins). Even a team that is missing half of its D corps should be able to pry 3 points out of these final 3 games and they will only need 2 points to clinch if the dreaded three-point game does not occur in either Ranger/Flyer game.
That sets it up for you - the B's just need to go out and take care of their own business tonight (by the way, they cannot clinch with a win tonight as reported in the Globe).
It's official, the Bruins will have a top 3 choice after Toronto's loss to the Rangers last night. Here are the Bruins' odds of acquiring each pick in Tuesday's (April 13) Draft Lottery:
1st - 18.8%
2nd - 42.0%
3rd - 39.2%
4th or worse - Blutarski's GPA
Unfortunately, that % chance for #3 is pretty high and the Bruins seem to be cursed this year, but you can't complain about picking in the top 3.
Playoff Watch:
6. Montreal - 87 (39 wins, 2 games remaining)
7. Philly - 86 (40 wins, 2 games remaining)
8. Boston - 85 (36 wins, 3 games remaining)
9. Rangers - 84 (37 wins, 2 games remaining)
Here are all of the possible points scenarios in the final two games for the Rangers and Flyers (ignoring what happens with the Habs for the sake of argument):
Rangers 4, Flyers 2 (Rangers win both in OT/Shootout)
Bruins need 4 points to make playoffs, and to guarantee finishing above 8th
Rangers 4, Flyers 1 (one OT game)
Bruins need 3 points to make playoffs, 4 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 4, Flyers 0
Bruins need 2 points for 8th, 4 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 3, Flyers 3 (One OT/Shootout win each)
Bruins need 3 points to make playoffs, 5 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 3, Flyers 2 (Rangers win in regulation, Flyers win in OT)
Bruins need 3 points to make playoffs, 4 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 2, Flyers 4 (figure it out for yourself the rest of the way)
Bruins need 2 to make it, 6 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 2, Flyers 3
Bruins need 2 to make it, 5 to guarantee 7th+
Rangers 2, Flyers 2
Bruins need 2, 4 for 7th+
Rangers 1, Flyers 4
Bruins need 1, 6 for 7th+
Rangers 0, Flyers 4
Bruins are in, 6 for 7th+
Just remember that 3 points by the Bruins could be enough to pass the Habs if they lose each of their final two games in regulation. Les Habitantes need only a single point to clinch their playoff spot since they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Rangers. The Habs play tonight @ Carolina and finish up with Toronto on Saturday. Ten different point possibilities come from just two games - have I mentioned the 3-point game system is stupid in the NHL?
The key here is, the Bruins need just 3 points at the most in all but one scenario (Rangers with two OT/Shootout wins). Even a team that is missing half of its D corps should be able to pry 3 points out of these final 3 games and they will only need 2 points to clinch if the dreaded three-point game does not occur in either Ranger/Flyer game.
That sets it up for you - the B's just need to go out and take care of their own business tonight (by the way, they cannot clinch with a win tonight as reported in the Globe).
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